Why is Donald Trump so obsessed with winning the peace prize? + Video

According to Rokna, citing The Guardian, as the world awaits the announcement of the 2025 Nobel Peace Prize, Norwegian officials are quietly bracing for potential fallout if the honor does not go to U.S. President Donald Trump. Analysts caution that a negative outcome could provoke a sharp reaction from Trump, who has repeatedly voiced his belief that he deserves the prestigious award.

According to The Guardian, concern is growing in Oslo that Trump might retaliate with punitive trade measures, demands for increased NATO spending, or even hostile statements targeting Norway itself.

The Nobel Committee confirmed last week that it had already chosen this year’s laureate, several days before Israel and Hamas reached a ceasefire agreement under Trump’s Gaza peace plan. Given the timing of that announcement and the committee’s strictly independent structure, experts widely agree that Trump’s chances of winning the prize are remote.

Kirsti Bergstø, head of Norway’s Socialist Left Party, warned that the government should not dismiss the risk of an unpredictable response. “Trump’s behavior shows deep contempt for democratic norms and institutions,” she said. “The Nobel Committee operates independently, but I doubt he understands that distinction. Norway must be ready for any scenario.”

Trump has repeatedly expressed resentment over being overlooked by the Nobel Committee — particularly since former president Barack Obama received the award in 2009 for his efforts to strengthen international diplomacy. In July, reports indicated that Trump personally contacted Norway’s finance minister and former NATO Secretary General, Jens Stoltenberg, to ask about the peace prize.

At last month’s UN summit, Trump again boasted that he had “ended seven endless wars” and declared that “everyone says I should get the Nobel Peace Prize.”

Arild Hermstad, leader of Norway’s Green Party, stressed that the committee’s credibility rests on its independence. “True peace efforts require perseverance and moral integrity, not threats or online outbursts,” he said. “Trump’s involvement in the Gaza ceasefire is commendable, but one gesture cannot outweigh years of divisive policies.”

Kristian Berg Harpviken, director of the Norwegian Nobel Institute, confirmed that the committee finalized its choice on Monday, emphasizing that its members act without political influence, even though they are appointed by parliament under Alfred Nobel’s will.

Political columnist Harald Stanghelle warned that if Trump reacts negatively, Norway could face diplomatic pressure or even new tariffs. “Trump’s unpredictability makes this situation delicate,” he said. “It’s often difficult to explain to him — or to others — that the Nobel Committee is completely independent.”

Nina Græger, director of the Peace Research Institute Oslo, named likely recipients such as Sudan’s Emergency Response Rooms, the Committee to Protect Journalists, and the Women’s International League for Peace and Freedom.

“Trump’s mediation in Gaza deserves acknowledgment,” Græger said, “but his isolationist policies and disregard for democratic principles do not reflect Alfred Nobel’s legacy or vision of lasting peace.”